TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x019c…e2c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibsonbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$294.2
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Alexandra Ealabacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.08
Brisbane International: Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Kordabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gastonbacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.8
Brisbane International, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.54
Brisbane International, Qualification: Astra Sharma vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-86.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$35.72
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$15.56
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.95
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+97.1%+$74.66
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 5)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 4)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$89.57
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+104.3%+$105.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$6.75
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Elche CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Real Oviedo vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.75
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick75cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+197.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will FC Arouca vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.78
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+839.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+839.1%+$446.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.