La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba15c43985c0cfdd8fff017d24b33025f5aa6c43f07176dd962526e9cc20e4c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 6,508$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.93 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 4,418$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.68 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 71c | 3,998$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,575$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 3,109$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.65 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 888$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 71c | 720$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 30c | 474.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 347.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 71c | 314.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 71c | 310.71$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 292$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 29c | 289.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 285$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 18c | 260.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 71c | 191.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…0108backed No | 71c | 186.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…2436backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 29c | 161$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 17c | 159$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…dab3backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 107.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 88.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 29c | 87.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 84.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 76.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 29c | 70.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…1563backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 17c | 61.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 26c | 59.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 71c | 57.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 47.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 30c | 34.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…1085backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.