TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes56c142,526$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,526.236566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c76,058$33,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,636.348940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No44c50,451$22,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,318.069536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c34,611$19,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,228.8450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No44c30,111$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.94942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c29,918$13,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,180.351,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No45c27,607$12,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,423.257139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c22,317$9,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.524,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c20,492$11,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,020.930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c12,035$5,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,293.781,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No44c11,940$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.6310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No44c7,650$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.47175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No44c7,640$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.673946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No43c5,725$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.7813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c5,122$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.0490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1506240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Yes52c4,825$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes56c4,721$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c4,008$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.4869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No21c3,832$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.726051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5751,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes56c3,269$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.983537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No3c2,633$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.7610250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No45c2,300$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.1625248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39a3…bd26backed Yes56c2,244$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes52c1,939$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.141275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes56c1,785$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.467553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c1,445$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.443,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9635…d0b0backed Yes56c1,262$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes56c1,179$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.572748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c1,151$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes56c1,124$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.129541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes77c978.93$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes56c957.91$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.4821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes56c942.34$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.639154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes56c884.82$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes57c855.93$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes56c783.29$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.655255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No22c754.07$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.76929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c728.65$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3213845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.297632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes56c641.53$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.288243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c638.35$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes56c545.05$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.825056%28 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes56c540$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.66238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7111049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c529.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2553242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes80c500.2$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.046237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255038%19 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes78c496.01$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes57c491.23$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.232937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No44c483.57$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2126836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No45c475$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.753372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb82…9c54backed No11c468.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf8…00d1backed Yes56c457.3$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.21966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes56c456.63$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.911241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes55c455$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.751656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.67534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5465…51d0backed No46c435.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes56c428.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.676141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes56c428.24$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes80c427.24$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes80c402.75$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes79c402.44$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.512055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17615250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1764156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No44c399.97$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.994740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c398$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.126930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c392.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc317…4f97backed Yes80c390$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Yes56c367.05$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.52050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes57c367.04$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.042532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a60…909abacked Yes56c357.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.262853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.