TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x227c…ee3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
520
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT11245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$524
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.85
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.03
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.31
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.98
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Rockets vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$189.2
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.99
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.2
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$75.9
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$104.4
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$108.79
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT11047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$374.28
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.29
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$781
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$81.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90.26
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$252
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$210.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$258.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$163.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$117
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$132
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$151.06
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$155.62
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.92
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.98
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.62
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$197.6
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$395
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$63.8
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$147.9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$232.2
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$108.15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$195.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$136.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$92.8
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$183.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$336
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT5451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$168
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$204.4
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$138
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$186
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+257.1%+$144
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$79.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$176
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$144
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.54
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$155.8
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$465.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$122.1
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$91.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$248.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$184
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$171.5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$71.3
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+150%+$300
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$247.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$67.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$254.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$132
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$192
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$76.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$243.05
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$96.6
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$204
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$62
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25%+$61.4
Will Serbia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$65.31
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$136.69
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$77.82
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$236
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$247.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+244.8%+$355
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$136
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$252.8
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+37%+$86.4
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$135
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$172
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$28.31
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$162
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$170.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$70.3
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-83.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.4
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.99
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51%+$371.54
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$209.97
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.18
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$249.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$125.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$164
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$172.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$105
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$260
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.98
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$199.5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-82.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.65
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.24
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.51
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.17
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$98.78
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$193.03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+129.9%+$254.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.55
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.7
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$276
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.8
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$136.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.