Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9859ad4b3f104ee57ead9e3249091b56ab4e62d5d960ee65bc9f8a032a56a929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,663$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Over | 64c | 1,865$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 61c | 1,443$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.77 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 985.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.39 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 38c | 316$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 245.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 67c | 151.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 62c | 100.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 12c | 86.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…d3c7backed Over | 63c | 67.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 67.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 34c | 63.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.