Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc998a16318bf0361f037a2d2d75147d87a1b94594ac1f47df6b0079c9efe6099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,054$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…a462backed Over | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 34c | 2,008$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.03 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 36c | 1,842$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.88 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 66c | 1,688$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.08 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,664$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…f4cdbacked Over | 36c | 697.25$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 35c | 569.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 68c | 468.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 434.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 393.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 36c | 276.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 62c | 267.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 36c | 220$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 188.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 36c | 151.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 69c | 123.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Over | 34c | 103.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 101.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 67c | 96.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 76.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 35c | 66.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…dbb5backed Over | 63c | 54.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 38c | 51.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…15c6backed Under | 66c | 45.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Under | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 35c | 44.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 64c | 30.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 34c | 29.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 65c | 27.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 61c | 25.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…6763backed Under | 64c | 25.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 66c | 24.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 64c | 24.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 21.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.