TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x38d0…0671

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Liudmila Samsonova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Argentina Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+57.5%+$15.05
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Qatar Total Open: Sonay Kartal vs Magda Linettebacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.39
Qatar Total Open: Diana Shnaider vs Alycia Parksbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Ostrava Open: Katie Boulter vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)backed Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Suzan Lamensbacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$67.67
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59.6
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.4
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.8
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.9%+$22
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+354.5%+$39
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+300%+$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$28.4
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.59
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85.39
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevensonbacked Stevenson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.