TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed G2 Esports65c31,767$20,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,648.5611750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Natus Vincere35c30,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,5005639.3%22 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked G2 Esports54c21,537$11,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,672.2412161.2%74 W · 47 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 Esports65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2610…972ebacked G2 Esports0c19,988$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997311%8 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G2 Esports63c19,312$12,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,224.961,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Natus Vincere34c14,499$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,569.3615545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed G2 Esports45c11,723$5,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,237.815848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed G2 Esports67c11,034$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,346.7931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed G2 Esports54c10,856$5,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,856.0126144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked G2 Esports0c10,746$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8579156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere40c9,175$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.3342840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked G2 Esports13c8,973$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.291,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed G2 Esports65c6,716$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,365.2734837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Natus Vincere40c6,486$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.945248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports43c6,010$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.591,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9482352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf291…6d59backed G2 Esports23c5,878$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.65425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere51c5,750$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8101540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere33c5,648$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.0620035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports53c5,646$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.051,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Natus Vincere34c5,215$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.4766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere49c4,988$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.241,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Natus Vincere37c4,816$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed G2 Esports59c4,758$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.3414757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere36c4,558$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.4117537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Natus Vincere36c4,075$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.995556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe04f…f11fbacked Natus Vincere52c3,990$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports42c3,882$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.641,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed G2 Esports9c3,712$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed G2 Esports66c3,500$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3105240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere78c3,416$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.781,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere49c3,397$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.291,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports38c3,330$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.862,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere35c3,236$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.1216454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked G2 Esports66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Natus Vincere54c3,007$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.0521857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Natus Vincere34c2,849$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.5317839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked G2 Esports17c2,499$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere51c2,060$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.4585652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed Natus Vincere62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9916660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2044…734cbacked G2 Esports1c1,881$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.492025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Natus Vincere55c1,873$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.337169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere35c1,850$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20746033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Natus Vincere43c1,800$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed G2 Esports56c1,785$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.316844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere52c1,757$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.9463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere42c1,694$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.5567931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere66c1,676$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.021,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed Natus Vincere55c1,652$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.475240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked G2 Esports67c1,637$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10046552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed G2 Esports14c1,579$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7516241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Natus Vincere37c1,568$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.847646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc8…0fa2backed Natus Vincere36c1,522$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+66%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked G2 Esports67c1,504$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Natus Vincere37c1,487$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.717754.5%42 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a0…c658backed G2 Esports64c1,447$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick70cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed G2 Esports28c1,430$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.460053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc0…d2cebacked G2 Esports8c1,400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…5df8backed G2 Esports60c1,397$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.761947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed G2 Esports44c1,376$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.243348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere47c1,358$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4353640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed G2 Esports4c1,300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked G2 Esports8c1,300$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.866116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Natus Vincere40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Natus Vincere39c1,178$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.8199338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed G2 Esports67c1,163$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.326454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Natus Vincere35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.8628150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere67c1,091$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9510445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed G2 Esports63c1,044$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.9212839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Natus Vincere37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Natus Vincere36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed G2 Esports4c999.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed G2 Esports14c979.04$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Natus Vincere34c941.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.711,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23a…8518backed G2 Esports64c928$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere37c921$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2322536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G2 Esports18c896.54$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.551,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed G2 Esports53c895.08$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8220051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Natus Vincere45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8936943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed G2 Esports14c885.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0922654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G2 Esports62c838.81$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.061,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed G2 Esports64c812.5$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52012035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked G2 Esports27c786.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.761045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere54c771.34$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.541,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere37c762$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.0625923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere77c760.2$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.257947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere36c753.97$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.542,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…07e4backed G2 Esports4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+83.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports61c741.7$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.391,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed G2 Esports66c738.58$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4620764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere36c722.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2214761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked G2 Esports62c692.9$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.065440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Natus Vincere36c691.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7740237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed G2 Esports15c689.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.478924.7%22 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere37c669.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.561,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed G2 Esports65c650$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1857945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports13c646$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.982,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere46c639.94$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.572,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.