TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0f2…2f17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 Winnerbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$44.87
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$210.24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.42
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.9
LoL: Lille Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Solary vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked BK ROG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$26.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$79.7
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$31.35
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$71.19
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$23.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$39.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$48
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs GenOne (BO3)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$189.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+57.8%+$41.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.27
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+97.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+135.6%+$189.84
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$64.29
Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$67.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+423.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+423.1%+$1,155.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+238.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+238.6%+$83.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.5%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.