CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x317cf46b5c58f7987cee91b9646ca80ae889c22d16cc7db3ce01f502520803b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked paiN | 51c | 3,861$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.88 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 2,673$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.77 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.3 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked paiN | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 1,847$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.43 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 1,524$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.59 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed paiN | 51c | 1,506$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.33 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 1,469$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…9235backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 1,125$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Gentle Mates | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed paiN | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed paiN | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed paiN | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked paiN | 66c | 862.22$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.76 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 51c | 816.94$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.3 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 672.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 666.08$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d2aebacked paiN | 47c | 547$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…abd7backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 547$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed paiN | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gentle Mates | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Gentle Mates | 19c | 350$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 70c | 339.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 322.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked paiN | 52c | 303$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 51c | 299.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 60c | 299.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…1618backed paiN | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed paiN | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 50c | 263.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed paiN | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…7f2dbacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 171.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 155$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 137.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 128.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed paiN | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed paiN | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed paiN | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gentle Mates | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…5c29backed paiN | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed paiN | 53c | 75.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked paiN | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…a2c9backed paiN | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked paiN | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed paiN | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed paiN | 53c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked paiN | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed paiN | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.