TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x677f…1228

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
417
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT13740.9%56 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$315.09
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$227.92
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.93
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$168.55
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.63
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$85.75
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$144.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$228.42
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.67
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.49
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.01
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$273.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$105.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$224
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT12745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$93.93
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$143.04
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.5
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$338.1
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$188.15
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.99
Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$243.99
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$364.21
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$62.49
Valorant: VARREL vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.23
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.17
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$237.63
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.52
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT7038.6%27 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.32
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.41
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.98
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.99
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.1
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.99
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.09
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.63
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.04
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.06
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$124
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.15
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)backed Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
BNP Paribas Open: Ugo Humbert vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Thionville: Moise Kouame vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$109.25
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Adelaide International: Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45.1
Hijikata vs. Perricard: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brisbane International: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$157.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.67
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.75
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.93
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.4
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$201.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.