TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No77c29,523$22,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.14,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes45c20,794$9,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,357.4715459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c15,165$11,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.33,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes43c11,206$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No58c10,248$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.099058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c9,580$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.491,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138f…657ebacked Yes21c8,977$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.85825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes42c8,825$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,706.443647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c8,295$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0923727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes43c8,028$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.912544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c7,328$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.461,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes14c7,113$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.823240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes43c6,735$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.68343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes42c6,564$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.0315034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c6,561$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.541,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes50c6,430$3,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.116235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes42c6,149$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.376746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No55c5,838$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.19457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed No54c5,600$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No55c5,318$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No78c5,113$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.345764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1502429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c4,558$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.9949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c4,553$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0256051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No55c4,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0255750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No55c4,452$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.225749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No57c4,444$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.1216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No55c4,423$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.232166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No56c4,323$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.185141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No55c4,241$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.85853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed No58c4,202$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+176.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c3,906$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.782,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No71c3,777$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.8822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No55c3,729$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.475942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No56c3,605$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.195831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No55c3,538$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c3,406$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.4810760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No77c3,353$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.581,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes44c3,295$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.61741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes43c3,229$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.4240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed No54c3,036$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.091154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes16c2,968$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No58c2,966$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c2,919$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.5510558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c2,358$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.7233734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes42c2,333$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6812236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.63525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.613054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes45c2,103$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.2315150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes38c2,027$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.252313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No57c2,015$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.527667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes42c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8807561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No54c1,837$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.9460732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No55c1,769$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes39c1,729$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.55442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes46c1,683$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes6c1,605$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c1,580$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.5535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes45c1,542$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes14c1,407$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.272657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Yes43c1,352$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.411050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,310$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3147653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c1,282$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c1,265$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Yes46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9910268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes16c1,187$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.92166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c1,161$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes15c1,106$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.82040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes18c1,043$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes12c1,039$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No54c1,026$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No57c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.997553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941e…a442backed No54c999.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No55c982.75$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.246660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No56c973.6$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.383351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.859056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes40c967.68$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.415646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c948.62$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2598833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes16c922.28$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.735738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No55c875.7$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes42c862$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0448934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes18c789.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.133234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c778.4$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.289753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No54c776.83$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.345754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Yes42c776.59$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…c658backed Yes14c743.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No56c740$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes25c699.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.539931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes46c684.24$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes11c674.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.532222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes43c673.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.744431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c673.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7410634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.