TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x941e…a442

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Solana Sierrabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.4
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$209.99
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$201.71
Vacherot vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.2
Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$53.75
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.47
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$26.75
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$298
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$80.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-85.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$700.36
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$184
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Nice win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$36
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.2%+$208.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$185.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$329
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$101.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$531
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.