NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4cf0aec58a81982ef375d7a3112468d245dae62eec65ce074ad59f3c9d194ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,649,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,037,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,649,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bears | 50c | 448,951$223,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,997.92 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Vikings | 50c | 437,970$218,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,985.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Vikings | 50c | 397,403$200,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,382.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bears | 58c | 278,859$161,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,162.88 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vikings | 48c | 188,062$90,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,980.43 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Vikings | 73c | 169,742$124,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,521.62 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Bears | 50c | 159,216$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Vikings | 34c | 143,143$48,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,983.22 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Bears | 48c | 126,309$60,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,666 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Vikings | 50c | 119,964$59,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,983.08 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bears | 64c | 103,009$65,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,826.28 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Vikings | 51c | 93,600$47,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,864 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings | 51c | 66,520$34,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,325.35 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bears | 47c | 56,028$26,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,393.64 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bears | 70c | 51,038$35,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,615.87 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bears | 67c | 40,224$26,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,871.95 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bears | 63c | 37,701$23,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,636.01 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 30c | 32,267$9,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,697.98 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bears | 68c | 26,273$17,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,897.11 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Bears | 48c | 24,188$11,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,607.7 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Vikings | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080.03 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bears | 55c | 20,147$11,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,166.81 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bears | 53c | 19,686$10,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,503.34 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Vikings | 34c | 19,565$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,894.3 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 51c | 17,883$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,829.61 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vikings | 51c | 17,391$8,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,531.99 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Vikings | 22c | 15,225$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,820.32 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Vikings | 65c | 14,539$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070.92 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 49c | 12,700$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vikings | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vikings | 60c | 11,360$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.6 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Vikings | 30c | 11,257$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,861.23 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Vikings | 49c | 10,949$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,545.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bears | 26c | 10,915$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.4 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Vikings | 53c | 10,899$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.73 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Bears | 49c | 10,845$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 52c | 10,577$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.92 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Bears | 5c | 10,201$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.03 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Vikings | 29c | 10,000$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,147.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Bears | 69c | 8,495$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.55 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Vikings | 60c | 8,451$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Vikings | 33c | 8,222$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.53 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bears | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bears | 47c | 7,370$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bears | 26c | 7,292$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.1 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bears | 48c | 7,090$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.29 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Bears | 70c | 6,864$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.54 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bears | 74c | 6,618$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.82 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Vikings | 30c | 6,541$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.39 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bears | 63c | 6,242$3,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.98 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Bears | 64c | 6,206$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…d999backed Vikings | 10c | 6,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Vikings | 41c | 5,624$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…ae3cbacked Bears | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 50c | 5,297$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.33 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 52c | 5,131$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Vikings | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Bears | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 73c | 4,948$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.43 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Bears | 47c | 4,625$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 48c | 4,259$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.1 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…06ffbacked Vikings | 54c | 4,233$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 70c | 4,214$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.96 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Bears | 48c | 4,058$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Bears | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Vikings | 52c | 3,826$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vikings | 45c | 3,760$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.25 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Bears | 50c | 3,644$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…da5dbacked Bears | 69c | 3,621$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Vikings | 31c | 3,502$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.68 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Bears | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Bears | 55c | 3,483$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.08 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Vikings | 52c | 3,455$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Vikings | 52c | 3,441$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Bears | 75c | 3,262$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.41 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed Vikings | 50c | 3,260$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bears | 50c | 3,075$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Vikings | 53c | 3,000$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Vikings | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…68b2backed Bears | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vikings | 61c | 2,919$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.73 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Vikings | 48c | 2,802$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.01 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Bears | 60c | 2,704$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.24 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Bears | 59c | 2,697$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bears | 58c | 2,654$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.77 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Bears | 49c | 2,458$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Vikings | 33c | 2,437$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Vikings | 52c | 2,413$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bears | 48c | 2,279$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Vikings | 51c | 2,255$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…9227backed Bears | 50c | 2,220$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Vikings | 13c | 2,202$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.02 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Bears | 48c | 2,200$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bears | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Bears | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings | 52c | 2,053$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.82 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bears | 2c | 2,035$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Bears | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Bearsthis page
- Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.