NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d18947ecdac256beb7f7a87d8d1372b13991e31ae74c0eddfe4c7d222048fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 51c | 79,500$40,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,539.58 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Over | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Under | 50c | 39,655$19,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,827.52 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5720…6b19backed Under | 51c | 18,201$9,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 50c | 17,582$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,791.12 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Over | 49c | 7,025$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.37 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 45c | 5,545$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.3 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 50c | 5,524$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.05 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 55c | 5,430$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.48 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over | 26c | 3,859$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 3,064$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.18 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 73c | 2,836$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.85 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…5595backed Under | 53c | 2,027$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Over | 48c | 1,871$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.96 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Under | 50c | 1,788$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.38 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,423$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.16 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Over | 25c | 875.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 651$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Under | 50c | 628.37$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Under | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Under | 76c | 468.42$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 53c | 468.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Over | 46c | 396.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 47c | 381.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Under | 54c | 378$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…9718backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Over | 49c | 345.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 227.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Under | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 49c | 138.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…6d71backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 26c | 91.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Under | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 49c | 58.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…0d6dbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Under | 53c | 46.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…8c48backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Under | 50c | 35.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…5322backed Under | 53c | 32.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 48c | 31.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…d761backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…41d8backed Under | 76c | 17.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5this page
- Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Vikings won
- Vikings vs. BearsVikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.