TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe611…0ae4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
288
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst College Football at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST7746.8%36 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Pelicans: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Bulls vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Bulls vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$108.62
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.58
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST6761.2%41 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Rams vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Bills vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Jaguars vs. Raiders: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Saints vs. Rams: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Broncos vs. Texans: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Falcons vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. Bengals: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bears vs. Ravens: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$96.42
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST4637%17 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Iowa vs. USCbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Northwestern vs. USC: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cincinnati vs. Utahbacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
South Carolina vs. Ole Miss: O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
O/U 65.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Miami vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$21.21
O/U 62.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Vanderbilt vs. Texas: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Duke vs. Clemson: O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Memphis vs. Rice: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Michigan (-14.5)backed Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$17.34
Spread: Washington (-4.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Illinois vs. Washingtonbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Iowa (-9.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$80.36
Tennessee vs. Alabama: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.27
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST4052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+217.5%+$143.58
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+59%+$20.66
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Victoria Mbokobacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Chennai Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Jiangxi Open: Elena Pridankina vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Korda vs Valentin Royerbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$57.18
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.18
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+203%+$253.79
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$59.55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+134.4%+$94.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$70.42
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$72.63
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Red Wings vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Islanders vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Kings vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Sharks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$29.56
Canadiens vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Bruins vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$36.54
Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$68.05
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Flames vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$32.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.