Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Korda vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e907a1e55daba9ccc4aad67752eb7f2fa83c309b02d6afce8d8d3a2cced1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kordaof Korda, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Royer | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Korda | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.5 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Royer | 28c | 3,528$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Royer | 15c | 2,700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royer | 17c | 2,395$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…f598backed Royer | 38c | 1,954$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…811ebacked Royer | 39c | 1,856$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…03b8backed Korda | 61c | 1,856$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…7bf3backed Royer | 38c | 1,753$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…2ed5backed Korda | 62c | 1,753$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Royer | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…fb3ebacked Korda | 62c | 1,084$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Royer | 50c | 999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Royer | 23c | 952.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Korda | 66c | 757.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…9f8fbacked Korda | 62c | 690$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Korda | 65c | 600$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…2ddfbacked Korda | 62c | 392$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Korda | 59c | 384.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Korda | 77c | 374.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Korda | 65c | 348.53$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Royer | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Royer | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Royer | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Korda | 64c | 260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Korda | 63c | 220.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…42a1backed Korda | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Royer | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Korda | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed Korda | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Korda | 62c | 143.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Royer | 36c | 142$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Royer | 35c | 126.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Korda | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…982dbacked Korda | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Royer | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Korda | 66c | 94.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Royer | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Royer | 19c | 81.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a8a9backed Royer | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Korda | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Royer | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…432ebacked Korda | 63c | 46.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Korda | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…bdfbbacked Korda | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…b88ebacked Royer | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…c9d3backed Royer | 40c | 39.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Korda | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Korda | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Korda | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Korda | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Korda | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Korda | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…baecbacked Korda | 64c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…2357backed Korda | 66c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Korda | 64c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…d04bbacked Korda | 66c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.