TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd891…7341

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT12161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.46
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.71
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Elena Pridankinabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$15.2
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.27
Pozoblanco: Yanki Erel vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.95
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.46
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$31.74
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.91
Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.67
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.84
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripabacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$9.41
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidelbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$47.1
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$98.22
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.43
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.4
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+95.5%+$43.27
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+57.7%+$41.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.