TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Hawks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,921,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,255,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,921,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Pacers49c1,157,373$566,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590,808.2510049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks51c747,171$383,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,321.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks49c179,384$88,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,112.851,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers47c116,691$54,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,843.2451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks52c114,628$60,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,024.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks51c107,546$54,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,404.332,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Hawks51c107,120$54,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,631.211653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,999.7940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Pacers49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,999.799043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks51c73,998$37,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,798.751,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Pacers50c71,736$35,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,967.1518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Pacers49c71,407$34,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,417.638451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Pacers48c62,500$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,499.9327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Pacers49c47,167$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,166.622070%14 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pacers48c41,656$19,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,661.1519560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pacers49c40,817$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,816.429857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pacers48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,80017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks52c39,895$20,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,563.844,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks51c35,724$18,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,207.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks43c34,459$14,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,827.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks41c34,060$14,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,106.368,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Hawks49c31,584$15,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,616.7410547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers48c30,358$14,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,786.141,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks52c30,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.991,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Pacers50c28,899$14,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,549.163946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Hawks49c25,898$12,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,690.1522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f2…2a5dbacked Hawks41c24,489$10,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,095.472842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c23…2890backed Pacers35c21,700$7,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,1051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Hawks65c21,700$14,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1052128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks51c20,827$10,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,653.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers55c20,511$11,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,133.123,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers48c20,078$9,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,440.3329055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks53c20,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hawks51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks47c19,850$9,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,329.2944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Hawks53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.1519136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacers56c18,181$10,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,045.1948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers61c18,142$10,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,145.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Hawks53c18,100$9,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,59310035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Pacers47c18,100$8,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,592.849758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hawks50c18,038$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,018.9324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers51c18,000$9,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,82062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hawks17c17,642$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.6783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks34c17,045$5,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,754.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks51c16,209$8,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,340.521,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers48c15,935$7,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,285.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…d795backed Pacers72c15,699$11,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks51c15,544$7,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,904.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hawks53c15,425$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.9389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hawks51c15,380$7,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,881.7339349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hawks51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks51c14,920$7,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,609.022,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Pacers57c14,860$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3909852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers47c14,828$7,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,809.1148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks52c13,812$7,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,18229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Pacers53c13,782$7,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,541.044052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hawks50c13,500$6,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,81035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hawks51c13,246$6,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,755.659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Pacers48c12,900$6,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,707.9840035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hawks51c12,894$6,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,575.9746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Pacers49c12,804$6,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,554.6987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers49c12,250$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,247.4924549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Pacers47c12,190$5,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.6927247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Hawks51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12015349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pacers48c11,462$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,960.0760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Hawks39c11,084$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.7739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks51c11,046$5,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.4648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks42c11,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6501,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Pacers66c10,620$7,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.6623747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Hawks48c10,222$4,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,906.3619645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks52c10,186$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.5577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Hawks52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Hawks51c9,778$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.9627758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01be…ecc1backed Hawks52c9,614$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Hawks53c9,502$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hawks52c9,500$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.835251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Hawks53c9,332$4,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.2116550.3%83 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Hawks45c9,107$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.6118547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Hawks52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hawks51c8,172$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.928649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Hawks52c8,119$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.335747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Hawks19c8,109$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.345837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6757…7ecebacked Pacers48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1602548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Hawks53c7,801$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.5313148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pacers46c7,800$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.9214055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hawks66c7,400$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.1314245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hawks51c7,321$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.5729351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks49c7,253$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.115,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Hawks51c7,212$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.118347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks53c6,926$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.4993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks24c6,808$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.151,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hawks51c6,707$3,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,437.1326247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe1d…77aebacked Pacers47c6,310$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Hawks51c6,180$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.83351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d8…6589backed Hawks53c6,154$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Pacers58c6,099$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.2810850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Hawks51c6,070$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.6910451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers49c6,055$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.4386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.