NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda85a36c224111b25bbb70d2ea858dc34420234339672f1e780fb3919db6bac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 4,912$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.95 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e024backed Under | 48c | 4,225$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…f1e5backed Over | 52c | 3,911$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f491backed Over | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…1481backed Under | 48c | 3,588$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b26…8619backed Over | 52c | 3,250$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…9428backed Under | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…610cbacked Over | 52c | 3,010$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…2f47backed Under | 48c | 2,855$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…3a93backed Under | 48c | 2,700$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…9dbfbacked Over | 52c | 2,677$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…6b3cbacked Under | 48c | 2,485$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…0272backed Over | 52c | 2,355$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 58c | 2,019$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 5c | 1,698$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,555$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 1,160$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 59c | 952$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 913.39$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 797.48$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 25c | 668.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 391.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 291$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 254.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 227.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 45c | 215.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…cb17backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 55c | 185.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 166.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 65c | 154.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 147$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…2e86backed Over | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 59c | 118.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 24c | 117.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 106.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 76.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 39c | 71.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 46c | 50.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 46.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…a441backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…8934backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…5511backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 41c | 43.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…43a2backed Under | 35c | 38.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…79efbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…cb9cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c90…9cffbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…245dbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…5c6bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…f9c9backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe525…0d4ebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 44c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…3d95backed Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Hawks vs. PacersPacers won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Pacers won
- Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.