TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c17,085$8,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,542.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c16,915$8,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,090.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c13,016$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.082,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c12,707$6,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over50c6,364$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1825945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under44c6,162$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.357536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over51c5,885$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.6114346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b5…bc0fbacked Under50c4,816$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…cff4backed Under50c4,804$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…8639backed Under50c4,800$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa1…6806backed Over50c4,711$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b4…f40dbacked Under50c4,615$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe417…3971backed Under50c4,604$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a8…ad82backed Over50c4,588$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c4,517$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7295…e02dbacked Over50c4,423$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721f…a450backed Over50c4,411$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41fc…e67ebacked Over50c4,282$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b72…9038backed Over50c4,263$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90fd…8039backed Under52c4,255$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b1…411cbacked Under50c4,233$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420a…cd8bbacked Over50c4,202$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a6…9e8cbacked Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1a…1d8cbacked Under50c4,173$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc539…7d34backed Over50c4,025$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…f86bbacked Under50c4,018$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…9bfcbacked Over50c4,016$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe3…9548backed Over50c4,014$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…550fbacked Over50c4,002$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf66…2ac5backed Under50c4,001$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfec…94c0backed Over50c3,985$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee12…7f8dbacked Over50c3,915$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8429…6a78backed Under52c3,855$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe893…8647backed Over50c3,811$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a58…a89cbacked Under50c3,806$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ed3…dd02backed Over48c3,805$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc089…7d68backed Under50c3,802$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ff…24bcbacked Over48c3,755$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4312…b783backed Under50c3,754$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over56c3,732$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae4…9addbacked Under50c3,717$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…8329backed Under50c3,606$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2f…b783backed Under52c3,605$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb4…820cbacked Over50c3,603$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf8…c24dbacked Under50c3,584$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a12…ed19backed Under52c3,555$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…71c7backed Over50c3,555$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6085…6852backed Over48c3,488$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741c…9189backed Under52c3,455$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27c4…6a2abacked Under50c3,414$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e61…b6d3backed Over50c3,388$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf9…fc93backed Over48c3,320$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcf…c3a1backed Over48c3,300$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc2…de32backed Under50c3,300$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1710…2801backed Under50c3,245$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…a5e2backed Under50c3,219$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe17b…42b8backed Over50c3,212$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49f…06bebacked Over48c3,205$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2781…8a11backed Over50c3,203$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2640…b934backed Under50c3,202$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00e7…6630backed Over48c3,155$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…5cbcbacked Under50c3,131$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8b…7f7fbacked Over48c3,100$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe517…526abacked Over48c3,085$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6d…952bbacked Over50c3,030$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c1…90d4backed Over50c3,023$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b2e…0007backed Under50c3,022$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84c…b8c8backed Under52c3,020$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b70…bf6ebacked Over50c3,016$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…1f95backed Under50c3,001$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6c…6f51backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a24…78efbacked Under52c2,988$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…b72abacked Under50c2,977$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0b…9bffbacked Over50c2,956$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4294…91eabacked Over50c2,922$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…95b6backed Under50c2,915$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x509a…8040backed Under52c2,880$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b3…14c8backed Under52c2,850$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbfc…252ebacked Under50c2,825$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf7…9c0cbacked Over48c2,812$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bed…ce6cbacked Over48c2,788$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfc…564cbacked Under52c2,653$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,650$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1d…09a8backed Under52c2,635$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…ac74backed Under52c2,588$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35c4…9f1cbacked Over48c2,563$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ba…bb51backed Under52c2,532$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cb…bfb8backed Under52c2,516$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e7…11c6backed Under52c2,515$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfad…a160backed Under52c2,456$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…4d81backed Over48c2,336$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b4…1c85backed Over48c2,331$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2021…ed7fbacked Under52c2,325$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9a…b49ebacked Over48c2,322$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96c…2269backed Over48c2,255$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.