TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$253,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under55c110,000$60,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,498.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over45c85,044$38,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,774.2944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Over52c24,626$12,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,820.416752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c12,950$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,086.565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c11,922$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c10,217$5,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.281,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.881,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c5,855$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a7…51c7backed Under55c4,011$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c3,932$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.361,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeacc…58b5backed Under55c3,865$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf56…c22dbacked Over45c3,685$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…43febacked Over45c3,675$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…d1d9backed Over45c3,652$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c3,560$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.332,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab18…77c6backed Under55c3,525$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfccf…7cacbacked Over45c3,335$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e8…09b0backed Over45c3,311$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…46c8backed Over45c3,254$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc77…2fe2backed Over45c3,254$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d5…c5fdbacked Under55c3,212$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c3,159$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…fc0ebacked Under55c3,122$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c1…af19backed Under55c2,756$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under48c2,371$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13818343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under50c2,328$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.3162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under48c2,252$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08113041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under48c1,937$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.913661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,711$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Under48c1,440$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.27536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over45c1,361$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.5558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under23c1,281$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Over53c1,236$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.733844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,200$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,155$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c1,065$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under48c898.06$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.672,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c897.05$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c875$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over49c757.48$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.311,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Under48c745.83$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3584845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c683.53$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over53c667.93$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9313951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c617.45$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c567$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.162,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over53c536.01$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.58344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under49c507.66$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.681,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c478$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.441,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Over48c432.69$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over51c425.32$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Over53c422.54$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6821546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under24c359.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under55c350.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c312.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.632,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Over53c311.74$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.236055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab52…293bbacked Over53c251.87$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c246.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.823,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c237.66$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.281,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under45c233.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.514634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2d…76e3backed Under6c202.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over45c196.62$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c187.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0166646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over54c185.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8917353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1926956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc2…2edebacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Under56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Over53c160.38$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.657846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Over54c152.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2611752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e65…d9f0backed Over45c139$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c130.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Over53c117.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8911755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over54c115.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5712752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over54c93.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.112652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Over54c92.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.896346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over53c91.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.779753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Over53c85.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.797060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over53c80.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.268653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over53c79.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.884341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Over53c75.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.067650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9617…415fbacked Over54c73.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Over53c72.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.975040%20 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under48c60.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.199458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.