TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb364…f1e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT7060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37.5%+$7.14
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.63
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$78.56
Hawks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+87.1%+$39.79
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$61.48
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+138.1%+$72.79
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.01
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.67
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$83.65
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$232.54
Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+91.3%+$17.68
Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.02
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40.8%+$84.2
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$634.54
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$341.19
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$85.33
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+108.3%+$46.58
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$41.34
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+83.3%+$83.75
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.96
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.77
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.01
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$561.76
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.53
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.57
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.72
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$57.47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.77
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.61
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.69
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$789.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.66
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.8%+$6.29
LoL: Priority vs KIA.eSuba Academy (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked KIA.eSuba Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$127.76
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+199.4%+$1,993.92
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+135.2%+$1,351.97
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$293.29
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.3
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.28
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+106%+$342.7
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$104.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+68.7%+$17.49
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,530
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+60.6%+$908.69
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$417.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$288.92
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$511.29
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+84.5%+$532.63
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.2%+$155.94
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.69
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$708.69
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$426.01
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-49.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.33
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$91.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.8%+$65.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,277.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$61.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.5%+$129.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.4%+$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.9%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$37.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.