UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7682ac8d3fd8158e90a9091654a7a5789e348db8d1ccfbb1ae150e0aa25b55ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basharatof Basharat, Matsumoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Matsumoto | 26c | 48,827$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,694.91 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Basharat | 74c | 43,612$32,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.12 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Matsumoto | 27c | 24,553$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.25 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Basharat | 73c | 12,160$8,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Matsumoto | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Basharat | 73c | 9,354$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.54 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Basharat | 73c | 7,118$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.95 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Basharat | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Matsumoto | 43c | 6,842$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Basharat | 74c | 6,726$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Matsumoto | 27c | 6,669$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.31 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Matsumoto | 31c | 6,352$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.21 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Matsumoto | 27c | 6,329$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.66 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Matsumoto | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.95 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Matsumoto | 27c | 4,200$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Basharat | 73c | 4,147$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Matsumoto | 26c | 4,057$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.92 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Basharat | 77c | 3,839$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Matsumoto | 3c | 3,362$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Basharat | 71c | 3,086$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.41 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Basharat | 74c | 2,875$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.09 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Matsumoto | 30c | 2,851$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.16 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Matsumoto | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Matsumoto | 27c | 2,358$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.65 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Matsumoto | 27c | 2,313$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.29 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Basharat | 72c | 2,257$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.83 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Matsumoto | 33c | 2,164$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Matsumoto | 23c | 2,089$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Matsumoto | 28c | 2,050$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Basharat | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Matsumoto | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Matsumoto | 27c | 1,852$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Basharat | 74c | 1,469$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Matsumoto | 26c | 1,463$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Basharat | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Basharat | 71c | 1,332$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Matsumoto | 1c | 1,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matsumoto | 21c | 1,251$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Basharat | 72c | 1,205$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.4 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Basharat | 73c | 1,171$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.27 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Basharat | 73c | 1,165$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Matsumoto | 27c | 1,110$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Matsumoto | 28c | 1,104$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Matsumoto | 27c | 1,100$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Basharat | 74c | 1,025$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Basharat | 75c | 1,006$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Basharat | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Basharat | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Matsumoto | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Matsumoto | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Basharat | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Basharat | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…29a2backed Matsumoto | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Matsumoto | 24c | 985$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Matsumoto | 21c | 973.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Basharat | 73c | 879.92$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Matsumoto | 28c | 876.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Matsumoto | 35c | 799.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Basharat | 74c | 730.31$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Basharat | 72c | 694.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Matsumoto | 26c | 674.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Matsumoto | 25c | 661.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Basharat | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Basharat | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Matsumoto | 27c | 599.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…fdefbacked Basharat | 74c | 599.79$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed Basharat | 61c | 551.72$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Matsumoto | 34c | 550$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Matsumoto | 27c | 549.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Matsumoto | 26c | 545.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Basharat | 74c | 543.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Basharat | 73c | 541.74$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.27 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Matsumoto | 29c | 524.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Matsumoto | 26c | 515.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Matsumoto | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Basharat | 74c | 486.49$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Basharat | 73c | 470.77$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Matsumoto | 21c | 469.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Basharat | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Matsumoto | 27c | 405$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…5d4dbacked Matsumoto | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Matsumoto | 27c | 380$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Matsumoto | 27c | 337$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Basharat | 73c | 328.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Basharat | 73c | 309.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Basharat | 74c | 300.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Matsumoto | 33c | 300.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Basharat | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Basharat | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…0519backed Matsumoto | 26c | 288.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Matsumoto | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Matsumoto | 27c | 275$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Basharat | 72c | 264.82$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Basharat | 73c | 264.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Basharat | 70c | 254.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Matsumoto | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Matsumoto | 28c | 248.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Basharat | 74c | 239.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Matsumoto | 26c | 238.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Basharat | 69c | 235.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Farid Basharat win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Jean Matsumoto win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.