TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a5a…36b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.05
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$32.21
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$57.27
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.73
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$205.76
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$105
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.4%+$34.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: EXILE esports vs ⁠Ethereal Enigmas (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Gity Meavedronu vs Priority (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked Priority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.7%+$23.54
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Argentina Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midonbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+109.7%+$54.84
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Transylvania Open: Ella Seidel vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Andrea Vavassoribacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ALT F4 vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.