Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALT F4 vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdd4caf7a812f405aab1060c714802f291cd584de5e37ed6c093b8b036f35a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OXENof ALT F4, OXEN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ALT F4 | 0c | 11,242$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked OXEN | 73c | 6,000$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.33 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed ALT F4 | 18c | 3,067$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…10debacked OXEN | 52c | 2,337$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked ALT F4 | 35c | 1,510$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…4f26backed ALT F4 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ALT F4 | 34c | 499.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed ALT F4 | 35c | 436.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed OXEN | 71c | 282.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed ALT F4 | 35c | 274.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ALT F4 | 35c | 274.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ALT F4 | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ALT F4 | 35c | 198.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ALT F4 | 14c | 141.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALT F4 | 30c | 134.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed OXEN | 66c | 70.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ALT F4 | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ALT F4 | 35c | 41.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ALT F4 | 34c | 30.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked OXEN | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs OXEN - Map 1 WinnerOXEN won
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs OXEN - Map 2 WinnerALT F4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.