NFL · resolved market
Big Game: Coin Toss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fda1dbaffcd7413656b79d732493e694f5d0d842dedfb4e9356d3c1d365cdf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Headsof Heads, Tails
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 613 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Heads | 50c | 213,674$106,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,837.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Tails | 50c | 125,826$62,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,787.35 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…ba2bbacked Heads | 50c | 20,131$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,065.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2410…08f8backed Tails | 50c | 20,092$10,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,045.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…6ce0backed Heads | 50c | 20,032$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,015.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Tails | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…ef38backed Tails | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Tails | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Tails | 50c | 16,000$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tails | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Tails | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…403fbacked Tails | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…5a61backed Tails | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Heads | 50c | 10,000$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…2c93backed Heads | 50c | 9,481$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Heads | 50c | 8,442$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1904backed Tails | 50c | 8,100$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Tails | 16c | 7,278$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Tails | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Heads | 50c | 6,500$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Heads | 50c | 5,194$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Tails | 50c | 5,027$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Tails | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Tails | 50c | 4,126$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Tails | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Tails | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…c193backed Tails | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Heads | 50c | 2,994$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.01 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Tails | 50c | 2,977$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Tails | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Tails | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Tails | 50c | 2,100$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Tails | 1c | 2,050$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…1866backed Tails | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Heads | 50c | 2,000$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Tails | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…5f94backed Heads | 50c | 1,904$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…befbbacked Tails | 50c | 1,901$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…0a67backed Heads | 50c | 1,851$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Heads | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.11 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…ee95backed Tails | 50c | 1,286$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tails | 50c | 1,231$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.47 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Heads | 50c | 1,100$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Heads | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…cccbbacked Tails | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…e258backed Heads | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…5dbdbacked Tails | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Heads | 50c | 998$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…b67fbacked Heads | 50c | 997.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Heads | 50c | 868.26$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…b25cbacked Tails | 50c | 805.94$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Tails | 4c | 750.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Tails | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Heads | 50c | 663.49$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…afd3backed Tails | 50c | 636$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…75a5backed Tails | 50c | 616$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Tails | 50c | 592$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Tails | 50c | 577.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Heads | 50c | 526.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Tails | 49c | 508.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Tails | 4c | 501.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd9…d115backed Tails | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Tails | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…3616backed Tails | 39c | 499.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Tails | 50c | 499.95$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…068ebacked Tails | 50c | 499.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…b9d6backed Heads | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Heads | 51c | 492.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Tails | 5c | 483.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Heads | 50c | 478.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…eebabacked Tails | 50c | 472.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Tails | 50c | 469.88$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Tails | 50c | 467.15$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…aa1dbacked Tails | 50c | 465.06$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Tails | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tails | 10c | 442.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9bacbacked Tails | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Tails | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Heads | 50c | 399.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed Heads | 50c | 399.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…407abacked Heads | 50c | 399.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Heads | 50c | 399.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…aeeabacked Heads | 50c | 399$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…05adbacked Heads | 50c | 397$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed Heads | 50c | 384.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…80a4backed Heads | 50c | 379$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…bd8cbacked Heads | 50c | 371$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…4bcebacked Tails | 50c | 366.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…afccbacked Tails | 50c | 362.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…2437backed Tails | 50c | 359.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…d522backed Heads | 50c | 359.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e95…6963backed Tails | 50c | 358.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…2ce2backed Heads | 50c | 357.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…783abacked Tails | 50c | 357.58$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…a46ebacked Tails | 50c | 356.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…21d3backed Tails | 50c | 356.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…35a9backed Tails | 50c | 356.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…de58backed Tails | 50c | 356.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…23dabacked Tails | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…b729backed Tails | 50c | 355.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.