TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x051f…66b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.41
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$101.64
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$130.53
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+67.3%+$41.1
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$106.67
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$39.56
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$73.25
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.02
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$16.29
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.66
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+195.3%+$390.59
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$125.51
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$39.6
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$34.79
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$28.05
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$148.61
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.88
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+235.9%+$471.81
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,369.84
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.8%+$371.01
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.9%+$230.65
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68.93
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.1%+$594.77
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+64.9%+$608.7
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$219.09
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.8%+$128.3
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.1%+$124.25
US Open: Popyrin vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
US Open: Shelton vs. Tiafoebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41%+$82.07
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Game: First Team To Scorebacked NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$199.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$31.42
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+98.7%+$262.64
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+170.3%+$17.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.3%+$39.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$46.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$217.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.