Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743a7044ad2898f6a5111615d43cdd5e52106705e8caaa29f43bc46cedce874e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 45,825$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.48 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 8c | 43,620$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 18c | 16,560$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 6c | 10,482$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232b…5c16backed Yes | 4c | 9,975$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,867$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 3c | 8,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,890$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 2c | 6,794$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed Yes | 14c | 6,210$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.92 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 5c | 4,797$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 4c | 4,796$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…a3f1backed Yes | 4c | 4,785$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…0439backed Yes | 2c | 4,636$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…9621backed Yes | 4c | 4,508$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,365$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…9381backed Yes | 7c | 4,309$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 2c | 4,300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…747fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,095$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 1c | 4,076$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 4c | 4,046$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 10c | 3,759$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 1c | 3,716$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 2c | 3,614$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 23c | 3,468$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.76 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…b84fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…6150backed Yes | 8c | 3,188$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 13c | 2,669$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…ee70backed Yes | 3c | 2,540$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4f92backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…1397backed Yes | 1c | 2,401$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,387$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 17c | 2,310$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.61 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 5c | 1,793$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed Yes | 3c | 1,777$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 5c | 1,598$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 77c | 1,569$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d2bfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,565$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62c…65ffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,562$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,535$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +307.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…7c40backed Yes | 13c | 1,472$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 16c | 1,445$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 21c | 1,443$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.01 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,415$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…078cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…087dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,314$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,238$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,154$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Yes | 5c | 1,107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…32ebbacked Yes | 18c | 1,099$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 15c | 1,093$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…5dc2backed Yes | 4c | 1,079$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…4d34backed Yes | 5c | 1,066$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b7aabacked Yes | 6c | 1,050$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 10c | 982.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 4c | 960.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 1c | 941.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 18c | 925.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 16c | 872.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…707dbacked Yes | 4c | 861.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 5c | 857.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes | 4c | 840.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 17c | 833$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1e1fbacked Yes | 4c | 827.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…e89cbacked Yes | 3c | 826$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…1472backed Yes | 4c | 814.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 2c | 800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 3c | 777.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 12c | 777$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…2edcbacked Yes | 4c | 715.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 4c | 714.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed Yes | 5c | 709.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…14c7backed Yes | 17c | 690.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 6c | 689.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 2c | 683.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes | 22c | 670$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 7c | 649.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 3c | 633.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 19c | 625$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 16c | 611.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 17c | 601.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…aeaabacked Yes | 3c | 594.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…2171backed Yes | 3c | 583.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…3783backed Yes | 23c | 575.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 13c | 532.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…058dbacked Yes | 19c | 531.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…4bddbacked Yes | 10c | 528.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…f1c7backed Yes | 9c | 518.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 18c | 518.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…daf0backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…e162backed Yes | 20c | 506.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.