TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4fea…d383

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5922%13 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid+74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.5%+$37.67
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Will any Senators vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$106.88
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$599.12
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$397.03
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.03
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.51
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.93
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.65
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+161.8%+$30.9
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.09
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$3.76
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.37
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.2
Steelers vs. Panthers backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
Will the Cowboys hire Deion Sanders as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48.49
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+27.9%+$29.45
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$15.4
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$22.46
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+28.7%+$6.69
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$5.76
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+25.5%+$6.09
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+56.2%+$7.2
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$28.4
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+88.9%+$86.31
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+36.4%+$20
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$11.15
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+37.3%+$23.3
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.7
Panthers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Saints vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+45.3%+$4.6
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.45
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.95
Raiders vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Panthers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+35.2%+$4.37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.32
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.29
NHL Playoffs: Capitals vs. Canadiens (To Advance)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.6
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.07
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.53
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$8.5
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.53
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$35.42
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+67.2%+$22.1
Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31.39
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.77
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$39.72
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+177.8%+$28.16
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.31
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+553.3%+$93.99
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.91
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.58
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$26.4
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.29
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.04
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$10.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$892
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.62
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$232.62
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$385.88
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$19.45
Israel military response against Iran today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+28.9%+$28.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+146.9%+$119
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Twins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$49.55
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+53.8%+$7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.77
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.93
Rajasthan Royals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$12.75
O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$20.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$55.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.