NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb236355fe71fe311449678ea87cf5258846ce0f1f624b941554347d8ba016db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Commanders | 80c | 57,864$46,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,255.22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Cowboys | 19c | 44,886$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,226.1 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Commanders | 0c | 24,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys | 17c | 17,409$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,450.16 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cowboys | 22c | 9,110$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.92 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys | 15c | 6,955$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.43 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…9957backed Commanders | 8c | 5,429$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Cowboys | 19c | 5,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.84 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Commanders | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Commanders | 1c | 3,333$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Commanders | 0c | 3,247$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Cowboys | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Cowboys | 16c | 2,398$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Commanders | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cowboys | 78c | 2,158$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.79 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cowboys | 15c | 2,000$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cowboys | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Commanders | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Commanders | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Commanders | 66c | 1,821$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.67 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Commanders | 43c | 1,708$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cowboys | 30c | 1,451$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.64 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Cowboys | 16c | 1,344$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Cowboys | 37c | 1,138$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.36 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Commanders | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Cowboys | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Cowboys | 20c | 909.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Cowboys | 18c | 879.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.59 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Cowboys | 18c | 824.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cowboys | 18c | 783.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.33 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cowboys | 21c | 600$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…f6f5backed Cowboys | 18c | 599.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cowboys | 17c | 599.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.8 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cowboys | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…d4c3backed Cowboys | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Cowboys | 19c | 550$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Cowboys | 19c | 533.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Cowboys | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc2…cbaebacked Commanders | 4c | 523.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cowboys | 14c | 518.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Cowboys | 19c | 515.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.66 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Cowboys | 57c | 506.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Cowboys | 17c | 500.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…9dfabacked Commanders | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…75e1backed Commanders | 44c | 472.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Commanders | 7c | 447.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cowboys | 14c | 445.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.07 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…5677backed Cowboys | 57c | 445.08$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Commanders | 80c | 444.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.99 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Cowboys | 17c | 400$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a34cbacked Cowboys | 18c | 361$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.02 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Commanders | 58c | 344.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…c275backed Cowboys | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys | 26c | 306.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Cowboys | 19c | 305.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Cowboys | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…b65fbacked Cowboys | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Commanders | 51c | 295.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Cowboys | 23c | 295.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Cowboys | 64c | 282.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Commanders | 17c | 281.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Cowboys | 21c | 275.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…f30abacked Cowboys | 18c | 272.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…901abacked Cowboys | 18c | 270$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de7…45d8backed Cowboys | 18c | 270$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bb…b3f0backed Commanders | 63c | 262.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Cowboys | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Cowboys | 21c | 238.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…e9c0backed Cowboys | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Commanders | 20c | 227.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Cowboys | 17c | 217.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Cowboys | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Commanders | 11c | 208.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Cowboys | 20c | 205.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Cowboys | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Cowboys | 21c | 194.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…8304backed Cowboys | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cowboys | 58c | 189.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…9f6cbacked Commanders | 59c | 188.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Cowboys | 13c | 171.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Commanders | 23c | 163.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Cowboys | 25c | 160$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Cowboys | 78c | 152.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Cowboys | 17c | 150.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Commanders | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Cowboys | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Commanders | 56c | 142.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Cowboys | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Commanders | 16c | 133.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Commanders | 22c | 129.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…67a9backed Cowboys | 62c | 124.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Cowboys | 16c | 121.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Cowboys | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Cowboys | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cowboys | 16c | 111$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked Cowboys | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Cowboys | 23c | 106.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cowboys | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Cowboys | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Commanders | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.