TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa32b…e132

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT11035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+525%+$105
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+376.2%+$150.48
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$16.66
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$19.04
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+426.3%+$170.53
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$30.24
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+138.1%+$48.33
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$33.94
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10626.4%28 W · 78 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Broncos (-14.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+148.8%+$74.38
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20.11
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$17.27
Will Fulham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$31.21
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will Aston Villa vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+37%+$3.95
Will Everton win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+127.3%+$13.28
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$25.16
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$26.28
Will Everton win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will West Ham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.3
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$30.65
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$34.65
Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+489.6%+$259
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+614.3%+$215
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Texas Tech vs. Arkansasbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$12.2
Coastal Carolina vs. UTSAbacked Coastal Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$23.98
Marshall vs. Louisianabacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+185.8%+$147.09
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+132.6%+$54.52
UNLV vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$94.99
South Florida vs. Ricebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+194.3%+$88.35
West Virginia vs. Texas Techbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$11.75
Utah vs. UCFbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+316.7%+$83.6
Utah State vs. Colorado Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$55.06
Minnesota vs. Wisconsinbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+113.1%+$40.46
Oklahoma State vs. Coloradobacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$28.49
Navy vs. East Carolinabacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+100%+$25
Memphis vs. Tulanebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+458.4%+$339.39
Toledo vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+300.8%+$315.15
Kent State vs. Buffalobacked Kent State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$83.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+42.9%+$6
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$16.5
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$33.94
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$30.79
All 6 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.