College Football · resolved market
Utah State vs. Colorado State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098acebab474c23e1608f971a0a2c8a35445612ef6f99454b92bc055b20a03f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Stateof Utah State, Colorado State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Colorado State | 36c | 11,368$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,275.77 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Utah State | 64c | 10,521$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.42 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Utah State | 1c | 2,840$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Colorado State | 47c | 1,598$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.17 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Utah State | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Colorado State | 79c | 1,487$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Utah State | 30c | 1,415$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.89 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado State | 13c | 1,073$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.95 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah State | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado State | 65c | 999.84$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Utah State | 66c | 770$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Utah State | 22c | 700$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Colorado State | 17c | 630$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.8 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado State | 77c | 576.28$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Colorado State | 46c | 447.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Utah State | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado State | 5c | 263.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Utah State | 74c | 258.42$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Utah State | 35c | 159.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Colorado State | 66c | 151.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…f3a9backed Colorado State | 35c | 143.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Colorado State | 30c | 114.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…1657backed Utah State | 74c | 105.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Utah State | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Colorado State | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Utah State | 35c | 98.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Utah State | 71c | 96.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Utah State | 65c | 94.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Colorado State | 66c | 75.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Colorado State | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Colorado State | 52c | 51.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…64cfbacked Colorado State | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…e1eabacked Utah State | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Colorado State | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Colorado State | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Utah State | 33c | 31.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colorado State | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Utah State | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Utah State | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Utah State | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…c7d5backed Colorado State | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.