TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe70a…6de8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST8460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.89
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$81.45
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.96
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$48.72
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.7
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117%+$12.75
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+113.1%+$565.53
Bulls vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.9%+$8.25
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+83.8%+$12.61
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Spread: Hawks (-17.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+84.3%+$13.73
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+113.8%+$21.24
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+34.7%+$37.27
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,376.65
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$171.07
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.07
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$238.1
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$159.41
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST3560%21 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a streaker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$386.87
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+41.4%+$51.5
Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+30.2%+$22.41
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+88.4%+$317.35
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Bengals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$667.3
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+40.8%+$118.78
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+101.5%+$1,219.27
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+37.5%+$96.92
Saints vs. Giantsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+66.2%+$49
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+48.1%+$41.88
Raiders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+37%+$12.96
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$68.8
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,038Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+42.7%+$1,725.98
49ers vs. Billsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$26.98
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+112.1%+$238.88
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$248.55
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$143.61
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$217
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+61.3%+$10.26
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$602.48
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$120.1
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$184.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,534.73
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-4.5)backed Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+147.5%+$85.87
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-9.5)backed Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$65.74
Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-6.5)backed North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117%+$113.34
Lamar Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-3.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$12.68
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-9.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78%+$39.48
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$117.77
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.1%+$34.91
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-3.5)backed Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.33
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.4%+$320.4
Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.5%+$1,325
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016.7
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.3%+$246.04
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$840.26
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)backed Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.1%+$321.15
Rice Owls vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$376.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2024, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. UNLVbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$803.13
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$4,932.52
Tulane vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+82.2%+$178.34
New Mexico vs. Hawai'ibacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$101.88
Marshall vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$51.86
Georgia Tech vs. Georgiabacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$173.16
Utah vs. UCFbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+83.2%+$34.05
Nebraska vs. Iowabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$98.12
Mississippi State vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+28.2%+$7.04
Utah State vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+118.2%+$242.53
Texas State vs. South Alabamabacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+107.8%+$160.31
Liberty vs. Sam Houston Statebacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$187.64
Minnesota vs. Wisconsinbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+44%+$23.82
Navy vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$101.44
Memphis vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$213.02
Toledo vs. Akronbacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$40.97
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Florida vs. Ole Missbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+46.4%+$332.67
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+306.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+32.6%+$843.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$382
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.