Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a401a9128178e360400a1898367a2d6a6527611e1258a8cf912e69bcc8cc5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 23c | 6,223$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cleveland State Vikings | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 2,486$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.82 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 2,140$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 1,916$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Cleveland State Vikings | 22c | 1,657$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 74c | 1,449$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 1,230$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.53 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 80c | 1,224$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland State Vikings | 3c | 1,083$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland State Vikings | 6c | 1,046$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 1,001$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 991.86$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 789$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 545.91$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 496$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 37c | 491.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 43c | 299.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 283$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 269.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 259.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…6303backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 257.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 235.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 201.17$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Cleveland State Vikings | 29c | 168$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 158.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 156.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 12c | 144.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 95.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 14c | 73.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 72.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 66.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 60.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cleveland State Vikings | 30c | 53.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 51.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 26c | 48.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 35c | 47.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 36c | 35.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cleveland State Vikings | 43c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 59c | 26.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 25.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64bb…2631backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Cleveland State Vikingsthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.