TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Hawks52c21,525$11,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,340.3836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers48c18,017$8,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,648.31,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Hawks51c15,390$7,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.8113142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers49c13,662$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,710.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers47c10,238$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,822.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Hawks50c9,874$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305a…1775backed Hawks50c8,400$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Hawks50c5,706$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85319445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hawks54c4,674$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.8252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Hawks56c4,617$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.8315849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers48c3,090$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers48c3,016$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Hawks50c2,857$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers47c2,029$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Hawks51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98012954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Hawks56c1,786$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.1710847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers49c1,653$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers44c1,360$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Trail Blazers45c1,331$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1315450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers43c1,187$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers50c1,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5463,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers48c1,032$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.162,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks52c819$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Hawks51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Hawks50c704.1$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4931354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f3…1bcdbacked Hawks50c702$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Trail Blazers50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5358…0d28backed Trail Blazers50c698$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a71…dd74backed Hawks50c696$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5f…fa0abacked Trail Blazers50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…72cdbacked Trail Blazers50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…63e5backed Trail Blazers50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d9…4a0cbacked Trail Blazers50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91de…cd74backed Hawks50c694$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a4…70debacked Hawks50c692$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c6…b334backed Trail Blazers50c692$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x382a…f8a9backed Trail Blazers50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f2…cc54backed Hawks50c686$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…3b5bbacked Hawks50c680$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4569…b70bbacked Hawks50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4c…e6f9backed Trail Blazers50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc306…0031backed Trail Blazers50c676$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d1…fdd1backed Hawks50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98c…ba11backed Trail Blazers50c676$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hawks50c674.7$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e0…cdafbacked Hawks50c672$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…6c5dbacked Hawks50c672$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe696…ff6fbacked Trail Blazers50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb67a…22b1backed Hawks50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca4…618bbacked Trail Blazers50c665$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1971…4498backed Hawks50c664$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ac…17bdbacked Hawks50c660$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48b…8976backed Hawks50c660$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…1d8bbacked Hawks50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03bc…1706backed Trail Blazers50c658$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…b22bbacked Trail Blazers50c655$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe378…1faabacked Trail Blazers50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb550…4be7backed Trail Blazers50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3994…3885backed Hawks50c648$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23c…4817backed Trail Blazers50c644$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5eb…e36dbacked Trail Blazers50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…37cdbacked Trail Blazers50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4639…a275backed Hawks50c636$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aae…fc5dbacked Trail Blazers50c636$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b45…1441backed Trail Blazers50c636$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1f…7318backed Trail Blazers50c634$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f0c7backed Hawks50c634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…6514backed Hawks50c634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa662…640ebacked Trail Blazers50c634$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc60…38fabacked Hawks50c634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02b…86a0backed Trail Blazers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee5…a49abacked Hawks50c630$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…f92abacked Trail Blazers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d5…de44backed Trail Blazers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42d8…af47backed Trail Blazers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c0…6769backed Hawks50c628$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb923…13d7backed Trail Blazers50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcc…3336backed Hawks50c628$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf69…6741backed Trail Blazers50c626$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0864…f654backed Hawks50c624$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0923…b715backed Trail Blazers50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cd…4742backed Trail Blazers50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3231…892cbacked Hawks50c622$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4d…77dabacked Hawks50c622$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3113100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29e5…07f0backed Trail Blazers50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x053a…097dbacked Trail Blazers50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc39c…2924backed Hawks50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3896…13a0backed Hawks50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d86…1c5bbacked Trail Blazers50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb30…1fb6backed Trail Blazers50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f7…4d7dbacked Trail Blazers50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7d13backed Trail Blazers50c612$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4338…7731backed Trail Blazers50c612$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6c…94c3backed Hawks50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9356…8680backed Hawks50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d8…44c4backed Hawks50c607$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…9123backed Trail Blazers50c604$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…5914backed Hawks50c604$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.