TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks51c132,554$67,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,482.381,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers50c60,789$30,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,313.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Hawks50c40,301$20,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,150.4129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Trail Blazers50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Hawks50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0007552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers50c17,464$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.112,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers49c14,721$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,280.272,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks51c11,628$5,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.511,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Hawks47c8,738$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,593.9413142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers50c8,417$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.9159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers49c7,620$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers50c6,963$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks52c6,837$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Trail Blazers49c5,302$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers49c5,300$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Hawks46c5,205$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.7637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Trail Blazers49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hawks48c4,981$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.0636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers53c3,840$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers56c3,500$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.2850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hawks51c3,000$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers49c2,270$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.31,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x305a…1775backed Hawks46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Trail Blazers49c2,020$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Hawks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7825945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hawks51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7831551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks48c1,611$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers49c1,494$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73221142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks50c1,097$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Trail Blazers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Trail Blazers50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers52c757.56$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers49c749.61$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers51c730.19$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hawks45c680$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.0121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers56c599.77$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hawks51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hawks46c561.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers56c534.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Hawks55c507.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.314334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hawks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers56c474.88$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers52c431.65$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.462,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Trail Blazers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Trail Blazers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers52c376.58$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers45c355.1$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks50c343$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Hawks52c342.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2815357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks47c282.27$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hawks45c271.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.311,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Trail Blazers50c264.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.841,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Hawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Hawks51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.047650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Hawks47c178.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.724746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks51c141.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers51c137.95$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Hawks50c120.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0155846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers49c114.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.741,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Hawks53c109.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.333953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Hawks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Trail Blazers55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Trail Blazers56c89.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks53c85.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Trail Blazers51c82.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers49c73.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers50c70.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Trail Blazers54c70.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Trail Blazers50c60.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Hawks51c56.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6426043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Trail Blazers52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks45c51.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Hawks80c51.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2515949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Trail Blazers36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Trail Blazers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Trail Blazers54c47.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.686253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed Hawks51c46.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9812749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Trail Blazers39c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5517331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Trail Blazers31c35.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1610637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Trail Blazers52c34.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Trail Blazers40c30.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Trail Blazers50c30.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers49c30.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Hawks51c28.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0237845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Trail Blazers50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Trail Blazers50c25.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.848253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Hawks50c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Trail Blazers52c20.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Trail Blazers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Trail Blazers52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Trail Blazers56c18.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535949.2%29 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.