NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9385a35723b7d3a20fda9ecb4ea412b1c267b5b1386d4e5301e6860a777d02ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 4,594$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 2,397$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 522.86$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 473.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 51c | 399.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 317.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 303.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 296.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 275.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 265.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 240.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 36c | 233.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 222.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 62c | 196.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 151.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 134.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 113.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Under | 52c | 46.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 30c | 44.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 32c | 43.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 32.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 47c | 23.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 53c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…fb0dbacked Over | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5this page
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-15.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. HawksHawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.