TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,186 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc5b0…48f3backed Under55c1,017$557 inWon+$459.5911247.3%53 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c698.73$362 inWon+$337.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under44c680$297 inWon+$383.099842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c648.54$298 inLost-$298.282,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c609.94$293 inLost-$292.7770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c604.19$300 inLost-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c583.38$277 inWon+$306.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over56c538.2$301 inLost-$301.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over80c477.55$382 inLost-$381.6265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c401.03$218 inWon+$182.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over61c382.71$232 inLost-$232.2519435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over45c349.84$156 inLost-$156.421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over46c299.99$139 inLost-$139.1791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over51c254.89$129 inLost-$128.8462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Over50c200.67$100 inLost-$1009037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c132.53$63 inLost-$63.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c129.84$66 inWon+$63.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under34c88.71$30 inWon+$58.941,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over44c75.66$33 inLost-$33.292,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over47c74.99$35 inLost-$35.416344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under35c73.31$26 inWon+$47.5588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under31c67.94$21 inWon+$46.62,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon+$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over46c54.02$25 inLost-$2525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c48.35$22 inLost-$22.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under50c43.78$22 inWon+$21.8920140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under53c39.62$21 inWon+$18.6254854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under34c38$13 inWon+$25.0865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c27.85$14 inWon+$13.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c25.49$14 inWon+$11.981,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under56c20$11 inWon+$8.887950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.