NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9bab398814206937e95400ac300f48d86bc27a57a0c4d2eef6015e98f9fe6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a01…9547backed Under | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…ccf7backed Under | 51c | 12,941$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…9825backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b378backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 6,846$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.92 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 6,000$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c28…3c78backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…6660backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…dbf5backed Over | 49c | 2,941$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,381$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 2,194$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,192$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,135$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Over | 71c | 1,068$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 29c | 1,011$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…6d66backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 927.08$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dc…fba8backed Over | 49c | 607.84$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 14c | 599.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 71c | 265.12$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 237.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 235.69$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 158.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 26c | 124.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 50c | 119.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Under | 51c | 112.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 70c | 78.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 49c | 63.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Under | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 51c | 58.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Over | 49c | 56.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed Over | 49c | 56.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 50c | 50.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 49c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 31c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Over | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…aaefbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5this page
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-15.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Hawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. HawksHawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 246.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 248.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.