TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59c8…de83backed Yes31c1,014$310 inLost-$310616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No71c799.98$568 inWon+$231.9926069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No47c509.86$239 inWon+$270.91,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No67c502.14$335 inWon+$166.945657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No67c376.73$253 inWon+$123.911,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c34…7f3ebacked Yes31c258.06$80 inLost-$8070%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes38c200$76 inLost-$7665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c185.82$121 inWon+$64.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4792…d1c8backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7136…8ddcbacked Yes29c93.39$27 inLost-$26.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes31c73$23 inLost-$22.7743453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Yes37c67.8$25 inLost-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No63c64.62$41 inWon+$23.9122774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f89…ccf7backed No71c63$45 inWon+$18.272846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes22c61.93$14 inLost-$13.591931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a2…a875backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No57c46$26 inWon+$19.7865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No68c37.39$25 inWon+$11.9292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No44c29.54$13 inWon+$16.541,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No55c27$15 inWon+$12.2432866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Yes43c23.99$10 inLost-$10.2819950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No71c17.88$13 inWon+$5.1983158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.