TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x764f…6b8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$72.61
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.77
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.43
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.26
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$64.81
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.27
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$33.73
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.5
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.42
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.17
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.07
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$307
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.7
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.15
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$72.08
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$84.84
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.96
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.55
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 2 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$56.8
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cody Gakpo: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the announcers say "Record" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$79.53
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$54.31
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+62%+$62
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.54
Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Gaziantep FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.63
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.36
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$45.93
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.35
Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$70.07
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.06
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$125.7
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$202.65
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$183.46
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.25
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$82.75
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$120.58
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$97.96
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.34
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2286.4%19 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$75.03
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$107.29
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.24
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$56.38
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$203.24
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$93.09
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$93.73
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$121.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.9%+$51.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$589.94
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$79.26
All 22 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Gironabacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$111.05
Real Madrid vs. Joventutbacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.91
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.92
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$116.53
Manresa vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.56
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$63.7
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Barcelonabacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$42.32
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahcebacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$53.1
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$47.48
Gran Canaria vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51%+$50.96
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahcebacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$119.13
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$704
Anadolu Efes vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Virtus Bologna vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$258.45
Fenerbahce vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$51.33
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelonabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120.4
Fenerbahce vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$24.29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.36
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$23.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$68.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racersbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$50.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.