TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zalgiris Kaunasof Fenerbahce, Zalgiris Kaunas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Fenerbahce53c21,665$11,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,530.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas42c12,265$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,106.254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Fenerbahce72c8,342$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Zalgiris Kaunas33c3,036$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+233.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Zalgiris Kaunas56c2,930$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.649551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zalgiris Kaunas44c2,817$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.2143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zalgiris Kaunas37c2,694$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.1735234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Zalgiris Kaunas39c2,682$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.4637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas61c2,633$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Fenerbahce55c2,603$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Zalgiris Kaunas38c2,580$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.522060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Fenerbahce69c2,576$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas48c2,381$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.285642.9%24 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas59c2,306$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.2426544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas29c1,652$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.6312042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Fenerbahce68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Fenerbahce71c1,466$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8017…6c1cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas33c1,354$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.361450%7 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+115.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Zalgiris Kaunas32c1,256$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Zalgiris Kaunas47c1,196$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.693228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas46c1,127$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.6910941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Zalgiris Kaunas32c1,089$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Zalgiris Kaunas33c1,058$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Fenerbahce57c1,055$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3710634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce69c1,038$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5127557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Zalgiris Kaunas55c773.88$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1112454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Zalgiris Kaunas53c737.51$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.496142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fenerbahce55c668.69$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0514037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas30c654.03$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.461650%8 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+63%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Zalgiris Kaunas40c626.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.141266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Zalgiris Kaunas25c625.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.461526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Fenerbahce68c602.78$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.4321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked Zalgiris Kaunas57c600.44$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Fenerbahce35c572.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe880…1e3abacked Fenerbahce5c539.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Fenerbahce50c526.23$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6826935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Fenerbahce68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas31c489.82$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1431446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Fenerbahce54c487.82$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.998936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Zalgiris Kaunas32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.756929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fenerbahce58c456.01$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Zalgiris Kaunas44c438.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.755238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Fenerbahce49c408.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas43c346$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5331651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Zalgiris Kaunas31c342.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Fenerbahce49c327.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas31c324.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7210736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Zalgiris Kaunas56c323.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.483164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Fenerbahce70c320.48$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.34560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Fenerbahce54c311.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…7518backed Fenerbahce70c300.24$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.951030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…b3c4backed Zalgiris Kaunas30c290.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas10c286.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.461637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+310.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Fenerbahce68c279.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3811455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Fenerbahce56c272.47$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.154438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Zalgiris Kaunas37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Fenerbahce71c254$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.34862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Fenerbahce61c252.15$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Fenerbahce71c250.7$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1785240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Fenerbahce75c214$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.922661.5%16 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Fenerbahce48c208.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Zalgiris Kaunas46c206.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.48644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Zalgiris Kaunas38c203.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.662050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…63b0backed Fenerbahce67c202.22$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas41c200.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9597…1c14backed Fenerbahce70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e4…7310backed Zalgiris Kaunas48c196.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Fenerbahce43c195.2$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Fenerbahce54c185.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Fenerbahce69c185.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Fenerbahce18c185$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.37031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Fenerbahce74c182.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Fenerbahce56c178.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4245…62ebbacked Fenerbahce56c173.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Zalgiris Kaunas32c165.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas30c163.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Zalgiris Kaunas32c156$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Zalgiris Kaunas32c154.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.857733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fenerbahce66c152.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Zalgiris Kaunas30c143.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.338037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Zalgiris Kaunas65c142.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Zalgiris Kaunas37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Fenerbahce49c133.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.962321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Zalgiris Kaunas30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.338247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Zalgiris Kaunas31c130.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.041030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Fenerbahce40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas50c120.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.126962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Zalgiris Kaunas37c115.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas27c113.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.642060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas44c111$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.894548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Fenerbahce50c110.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zalgiris Kaunas36c110.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.721535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zalgiris Kaunas44c107.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.554431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Zalgiris Kaunas55c106.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb32…787dbacked Fenerbahce43c103.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas44c100.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas29c100.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7120936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Zalgiris Kaunas32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Zalgiris Kaunas31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9927338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.