TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e33…73e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
384
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT16437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$533.33
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$671.05
Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs Swiatekbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bejlek vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Brandon Nakashima vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.89
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tausonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+219.6%+$439.1
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$316.8
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bergs vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$241.4
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$1,670.8
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$402
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,100
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+296%+$1,480.2
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$403.33
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$573.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$639.47
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$371.71
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$298.15
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.5
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.41
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+230.1%+$170.49
Saski Baskonia vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$108.11
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$122.16
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Barcelona vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$163.05
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 2 Viking FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$426.92
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$385.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$493.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.57
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$146.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+82.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+206.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$42.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.