TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,218 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1660…5598backed No70c5,804$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.683767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c5,315$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.2352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c3,649$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.811,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c1,573$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3926660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c1,508$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.712152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes31c1,394$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.241926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes29c1,348$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c1,011$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c754.63$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c736.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c627.15$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c537.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c534.59$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes25c508.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.642326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No55c454$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.36132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1d…dac4backed Yes31c423.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…a8b9backed Yes31c379.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce9…f9f1backed Yes31c376.52$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c335.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c334.09$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…27d7backed No69c280$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b76…49b1backed Yes31c259.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…3492backed Yes31c236.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d25…82a7backed Yes31c203.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c162.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9984…cfdcbacked No69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes26c159.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes32c157.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e6…f811backed No70c156.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…cafebacked No70c152.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+143.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ca…15f8backed No69c151$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…3d44backed No69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…4804backed No70c141.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbf…5d89backed No69c139$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…54a9backed No69c136$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7647…68b1backed No70c135.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…05e5backed No69c135$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…5967backed No70c133.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…6f84backed No69c131$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…03b7backed No70c130.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes25c129.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-84%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…1373backed No69c129$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568e…65e6backed No69c126$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a14…3d59backed No69c122$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…daa8backed No69c121$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874b…6acfbacked No69c118$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes24c116.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c116$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d8…f8afbacked No70c114.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes21c114.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…efcabacked No69c113$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f8…5734backed No70c110.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes32c109.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf746…f297backed No69c108$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…c863backed No70c105.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1194…b14dbacked No69c105$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c100.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b7…f4e4backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6610855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes31c99.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No69c96.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400e…d289backed No69c96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes24c94.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a3…eeb5backed No70c91.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…249bbacked No70c90.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0e…a4d4backed No70c84.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a4…e52bbacked No70c82.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c79.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1117817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a55…b5babacked No70c79.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc762…95f0backed No70c77.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dff…5431backed Yes31c76.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8dc…e391backed No70c73.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes30c68.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.695529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c66.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes31c65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8318245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6497…d577backed No70c61.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+188.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeae…6366backed No70c58.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes29c52.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.