TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,311 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes43c95,053$40,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,872.633557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes43c56,953$24,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,489.973756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed No58c55,993$32,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,677.322740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No57c52,022$29,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,369.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No57c31,856$18,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,649.651957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No57c16,404$9,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,053.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No57c15,024$8,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.623050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c13,715$7,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,942.3352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No57c11,399$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.683450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No57c8,005$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.151478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes43c7,331$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes42c7,052$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.9221144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0105156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0102751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes20c6,508$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c6,065$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.9287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.162661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No56c4,745$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes44c4,550$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.89458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No58c4,170$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.653767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes44c3,600$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.75538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes42c3,333$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.864468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2905060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c2,269$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c1,410$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c1,307$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.081,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes43c1,200$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Yes44c1,135$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c1,078$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.4923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.757549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No58c860$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.24755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c744.47$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes17c700$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No60c666$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.46132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes43c660.5$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2846119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes43c660.45$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9920150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c637.44$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c635$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes7c556.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.122326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c480.6$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No57c466.78$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.93655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…84c9backed No57c358.85$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…a1c1backed No57c357.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b56…9894backed No57c355.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5439…a473backed Yes44c354.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa600…3be4backed Yes44c354.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9a…f3eabacked Yes44c352.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…a785backed No57c348.67$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e5…f012backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd4…e300backed Yes44c339.51$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12914045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12917756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12912957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12923260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No57c268$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.247138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes44c254.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd766…10e8backed No57c246.35$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…f01dbacked No57c235.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3131backed Yes43c232.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No57c231.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.911556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes44c227.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ff…b3ebbacked Yes44c226.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e46…3cf4backed Yes44c221.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccc…73f0backed No57c214.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked No65c193.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf785…c473backed No57c190.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…1548backed Yes44c190.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf678…b132backed Yes44c188.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5e…f840backed No57c185.49$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…e120backed Yes44c182.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35af…4260backed Yes44c182.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28e6…cebabacked Yes44c180.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No63c180$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.49158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.48460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc61e…0f34backed Yes44c178.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes43c174.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ad8…88cbbacked No57c168.49$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3a…0979backed No57c168.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c161.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7683…b6c7backed Yes43c161$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0476…8d17backed No57c153.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.