Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf28ac8b2330bc1648d776c8f0ca7749baba91ef38643a8c0737accfe2615a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,026,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,264,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,026,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 898 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 43c | 338,425$146,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,141.39 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 42c | 328,635$138,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,826.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 49c | 302,903$148,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,168.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 100,452$59,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,738.24 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 85,162$49,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,287.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 64,931$37,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,568.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 50,700$20,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,113 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 33,682$19,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,412.79 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 67c | 28,206$18,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 27,635$11,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,359.57 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 40c | 26,000$10,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,430 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…1cfcbacked Yes | 58c | 22,058$12,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 58c | 20,611$12,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,596.44 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 20,451$11,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,992.84 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 40c | 20,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.99 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 43c | 19,204$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,257.72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 13,799$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.97 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 58c | 13,793$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…9a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 13,688$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,538.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 41c | 13,398$5,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 11,886$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.86 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 77c | 11,604$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 46c | 11,422$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 11,411$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.53 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 40c | 11,251$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 61c | 10,649$6,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 72c | 10,621$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 10,506$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.81 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 43c | 10,031$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.91 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 72c | 9,850$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.34 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 58c | 9,001$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.54 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 40c | 8,456$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 59c | 7,671$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 42c | 7,543$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 7,224$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.1 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 41c | 7,182$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 56c | 7,086$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.64 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 39c | 6,400$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes | 58c | 6,034$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,860$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 54c | 5,794$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.32 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 43c | 5,775$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 40c | 5,266$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 73c | 5,166$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 4,637$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 40c | 4,501$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.43 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 59c | 4,350$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 4,200$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.96 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 49c | 4,037$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 4,007$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.94 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 42c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 58c | 3,850$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 52c | 3,704$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 58c | 3,621$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.69 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 25c | 3,609$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.06 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 28c | 3,286$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed No | 41c | 3,035$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 59c | 3,008$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.28 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 36c | 2,845$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.06 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed No | 42c | 2,683$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 57c | 2,625$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.44 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 60c | 2,605$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.67 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 59c | 2,516$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 50c | 2,318$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.21 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 55c | 2,200$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 42c | 2,199$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 32c | 1,935$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.83 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.82 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 40c | 1,900$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,800$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.2 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 58c | 1,798$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.23 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 42c | 1,754$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.63 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.