Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7970e8f13bc97d9627c3ae94002c786198672c2d04ebc56f3ffc94ba650876a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 7,593$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.29 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 5,658$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 22c | 5,536$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 78c | 5,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 4,937$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 21c | 4,613$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.7 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed No | 65c | 4,584$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 4,532$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 77c | 4,219$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 4,022$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.63 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 41c | 3,973$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 80c | 3,751$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.08 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 79c | 3,020$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 79c | 2,999$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.79 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 2,808$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.5 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 62c | 2,664$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 27c | 2,193$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,804$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,711$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,444$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 1,050$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 900$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 801.27$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.58 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 723.82$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…bc24backed Yes | 36c | 722.39$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 6c | 718.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 11c | 642.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 599.61$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 9c | 499.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 471.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 65c | 439.64$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 65c | 322.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 64c | 313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 20c | 311.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 29c | 258.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 244$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 37c | 242.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 17c | 238.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 21c | 230.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 37c | 224$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.93 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 21c | 221.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…4405backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 213.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 28c | 200.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…8fd8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc403…f417backed Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 194.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 187.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 11c | 174.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 169$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 142.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 141.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 43c | 137.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…b011backed Yes | 64c | 123.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…b7e1backed Yes | 62c | 122.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 54c | 122.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Yes | 27c | 121.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1e…2dbcbacked No | 79c | 118.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 22c | 113.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 29c | 108.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 65c | 101.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…a89dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.