TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa313…1f26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+190.8%+$964.55
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$664.06
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.04
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.53
Will Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.53
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.71
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+391.1%+$1,917.32
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$1,213.82
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+303%+$1,106.14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.16
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.47
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+362.9%+$2,514.65
Will Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.44
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$447.72
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163%+$293.97
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.49
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$389.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+121.5%+$320.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163.84
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+342.4%+$150.29
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.96
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$137.68
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.07
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.1
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.82
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$117.27
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.27
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.27
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.45
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.65
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.99
Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.72
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.1
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.1
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.75
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+229.3%+$999.01
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+410.2%+$1,928.43
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.02
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$1,205.96
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$383.78
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$80.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.83
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.86
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.73
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.36
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,107.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,255
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+350.8%+$3,021.22
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.55
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.61
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$202.64
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$71.15
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+250%+$1,195.73
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$34.9
Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.47
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$371.24
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.38
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+332.9%+$1,302.93
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$591.65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72.66
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$146.15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+126.7%+$378.13
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$426.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$329.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$189.4
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$133.93
Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$388.41
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.93
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$397.94
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+273.9%+$597.85
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.36
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.72
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.17
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.49
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.86
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$683.55
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+337.1%+$1,096.8
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+190.5%+$657.7
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$472.7
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.61
Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+294%+$125.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.78
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$332.76
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$718.71
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+280.2%+$523.33
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.96
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+526.4%+$1,404.14
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.77
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$576.96
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.15
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.5
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.3
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.04
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$453.25
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.42
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.28
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.73
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.8
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.86
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.26
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+162.1%+$937
Will St. Louis City SC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.41
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$247.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$743.61
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.3
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.65
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)backed SC Corinthians Paulista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$252.56
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.16
EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.98
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+217.1%+$971.14
Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$201.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.29
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.88
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$294.95
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.73
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.19
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+268.1%+$1,598.72
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.9
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$507
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.42
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.51
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$126.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.68
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$444.11
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)backed Trabzonspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$95.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.