Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff20721c01678d8b15cb565badeeff6d6b597309b6931bb56cfc222cb3837ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 11,719$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,562.46 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 4,029$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.09 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 56c | 2,485$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…0acebacked Over | 56c | 1,807$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Under | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,610$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 1,574$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 79c | 1,416$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 57c | 1,377$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.71 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 56c | 1,233$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 1,141$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.02 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 890.85$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 822.51$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Under | 61c | 761$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 749.09$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 58c | 685.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 44c | 682$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 42c | 613.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.75 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc22…b4e7backed Over | 43c | 465.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 54c | 462.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 44c | 459.82$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 452.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 438.46$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 428$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.47 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 29c | 427.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 30c | 413.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 37c | 404.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Under | 66c | 357.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 340.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 69c | 288.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 78c | 285.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 53c | 284$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 254.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 230.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…05a5backed Over | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 54c | 218.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 215.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 48c | 208.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 44c | 204.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 55c | 200.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 192.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 29c | 172.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 170.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 25c | 159.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 159.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 62c | 138.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 54c | 138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 123.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 116.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 48c | 114.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Under | 73c | 107.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 49c | 100.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 71c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 70.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 59c | 62.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 53c | 56.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 77c | 53.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Over | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 42.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.